Sound Mortgage Underwriting Contributes to Financial Stability
The safety and stability of federally regulated financial institutions is fundamental to the ongoing health of Canada’s financial system and its economy. OSFI contributes to this stability by fulfilling its mandate to protect the interests of depositors and other creditors of financial institutions. It does this by setting standards that improve banks’ resilience, both under normal conditions and in the event of a financial downturn.
Lenders subject to OSFI supervision hold nearly 80 per cent of all residential mortgages issued in Canada, and residential mortgage loans account for almost 30 per cent of the total assets held by these lenders. Sound mortgage underwriting practices reduce risks to the financial system, and to Canadians who entrust their savings to Canada’s financial institutions.
Sound mortgage underwriting practices require lenders to assess a borrower’s ability to pay their loan under a variety of conditions. A lender should consider potential changes to a borrower’s income and expenses, as well as changes to the market environment including the valuation of the property that is being mortgaged.
This information sheet is updated periodically to provide information about the effectiveness of Guideline B-20 and statistics about some of the areas that we continue to monitor.
History of Guideline B-20
In 2012, OSFI introduced its Residential Mortgage Underwriting Practices and Procedures Guideline (B-20) to set out expectations for strong residential mortgage underwriting for federally regulated lenders. The original Guideline was mostly principles-based and included an expectation that lenders would stress test borrowers for adverse conditions.
In 2016, OSFI reminded lenders of its underwriting expectations in the form of a
public letter. When OSFI continued to see examples of relaxed mortgage underwriting at some lenders, it issued an update to Guideline B-20 in 2017 that came into effect in January 2018.
The updated Guideline B-20 clarified and strengthened expectations to address what OSFI saw as increasing risks in an environment of historically low interest rates, high levels of consumer debt and housing imbalances.
The revised Guideline B-20 includes:
- measures requiring financial institutions to apply greater rigor when assessing a borrower’s ability to repay their mortgage loans, including when verifying a borrower’s employment status and income history
- a revised minimum qualifying rate (stress test) that requires lenders to confirm borrowers would be able to continue repaying their mortgage loans if faced with a sudden change to their circumstances (income loss, increased interest rates, additional expenses, etc.). The minimum qualifying rate is the greater of the contractual mortgage rate plus two percentage points, or the five-year benchmark rate published by the Bank of Canada
- a requirement for lenders to place more scrutiny on property valuations, establish dynamic loan-to-value limits that reflect the risk of specific properties and markets, and update these limits and practices as housing markets and the economic environment evolve.
- The extraordinary circumstances at the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic required OSFI to make a series of decisions intended to focus on continued resilience, the delivery of government programs and operational pressures on institutions we oversee. This included pausing policy consultations, and special temporary capital treatment of deferred payments.
- OSFI continues to assess policy measures against the principles and considerations laid out in a speech delivered in
September 2020.
Guideline B-20 Impact on Uninsured Mortgages
The following data, similar to the
note issued in January 2020, represents uninsured mortgages from 20 federally regulated mortgage lenders. These lenders hold more than 99 per cent (by $) of all mortgages subject to OSFI regulation and supervision. The charts below include data up to and including November 2020.
Mortgage underwriting quality warrants continued attention:
When Guideline B-20 revisions were introduced, lenders made changes that reduced the proportion of mortgages approved for the most highly indebted or over-leveraged borrowers (e.g. mortgage loans that exceed 450% of a borrower’s income.)
- This metric peaked at 20% prior to the implementation of Guideline B-20 changes in 2018 and remained low over the following year and a half.
- In the second half of 2019, there was renewed growth in the exposure to these highly indebted borrowers that has accelerated further in 2020.
- Of note, the debt servicing capacity of highly indebted borrowers has actually improved, largely driven by historically low mortgage rates. (See Chart 1)
Text version - Chart 1
Average TDSR / Proportion with LTI > 450% Trends for Unsinsured Mortgage Originations in Canada
Period | Average TDS | % LTI > 4.5x |
---|
2014 Q1 | 44.13% | 12.29% |
2014 Q2 | 43.82% | 11.93% |
2014 Q3 | 43.32% | 13.22% |
2014 Q4 | 43.23% | 13.57% |
2015 Q1 | 42.87% | 13.95% |
2015 Q2 | 41.86% | 15.58% |
2015 Q3 | 42.41% | 16.91% |
2015 Q4 | 42.78% | 16.65% |
2016 Q1 | 43.39% | 16.84% |
2016 Q2 | 42.77% | 16.92% |
2016 Q3 | 42.51% | 18.30% |
2016 Q4 | 42.53% | 18.61% |
2017 Q1 | 42.57% | 19.33% |
2017 Q2 | 42.32% | 19.51% |
2017 Q3 | 41.56% | 20.03% |
2017 Q4 | 41.55% | 19.18% |
2018 Q1 | 43.14% | 17.36% |
2018 Q2 | 43.98% | 13.65% |
2018 Q3 | 43.65% | 14.45% |
2018 Q4 | 44.56% | 14.06% |
2019 Q1 | 45.99% | 14.25% |
2019 Q2 | 45.25% | 14.57% |
2019 Q3 | 44.41% | 16.43% |
2019 Q4 | 45.03% | 17.49% |
2020 Q1 | 45.35% | 18.26% |
2020 Q2 | 44.29% | 17.99% |
2020 Q3 | 44.09% | 20.00% |
2020 Q4 | 43.57% | 22.68% |
- Another metric that OSFI monitors to assess underwriting quality is the proportion of new uninsured mortgage originations with loan to value ratios in excess of 75%. These are known as high ratio mortgages, meaning there is less equity at origination than a conventional mortgage. While this measure peaked prior to the implementation of Guideline B-20, it has been increasing, especially over the past the year, although it remains below its historic peak levels. (See Chart 2)
OSFI will continue to monitor the performance of these metrics, along with a number of other measures to assess the effectiveness of Guideline B-20.
Text version - Chart 2
Uninsured mortgage originations, proportion of mortgages with LTV > 75% by $
Period | % > 75% |
---|
2014 Q1 | 51.1% |
2014 Q2 | 53.3% |
2014 Q3 | 51.9% |
2014 Q4 | 50.6% |
2015 Q1 | 48.8% |
2015 Q2 | 49.9% |
2015 Q3 | 49.9% |
2015 Q4 | 48.5% |
2016 Q1 | 45.6% |
2016 Q2 | 45.9% |
2016 Q3 | 45.0% |
2016 Q4 | 45.8% |
2017 Q1 | 45.6% |
2017 Q2 | 45.4% |
2017 Q3 | 45.6% |
2017 Q4 | 46.7% |
2018 Q1 | 45.9% |
2018 Q2 | 46.6% |
2018 Q3 | 46.3% |
2018 Q4 | 47.1% |
2019 Q1 | 46.7% |
2019 Q2 | 48.8% |
2019 Q3 | 48.2% |
2019 Q4 | 47.9% |
2020 Q1 | 47.6% |
2020 Q2 | 48.5% |
2020 Q3 | 50.3% |
2020 Q4 | 49.8% |
Amortization periods not extending:
Insured mortgages have a maximum amortization period of 25 years, while uninsured mortgages subject to Guideline B-20 can be paid over a longer period.
- Uninsured mortgage borrowers do not appear to be extending amortization periods to pass the stress test requirement. (See Chart 3)
OSFI will continue to monitor the Canadian real estate market, the impacts of COVID on market dynamics, as well as lender practices, particularly in the area of income verification and collateral values. OSFI will be proactive with lenders when it identifies areas requiring attention.
Text version - Chart 3
Mortgages with amortizations greater than 25 years
Date | % >25 yrs |
---|
2015 Q1 | 57% |
2015 Q2 | 57% |
2015 Q3 | 60% |
2015 Q4 | 61% |
2016 Q1 | 63% |
2016 Q2 | 64% |
2016 Q3 | 66% |
2016 Q4 | 66% |
2017 Q1 | 57% |
2017 Q2 | 51% |
2017 Q3 | 52% |
2017 Q4 | 52% |
2018 Q1 | 52% |
2018 Q2 | 46% |
2018 Q3 | 48% |
2018 Q4 | 51% |
2019 Q1 | 51% |
2019 Q2 | 48% |
2019 Q3 | 50% |
2019 Q4 | 52% |
2020 Q1 | 50% |
2020 Q2 | 49% |
2020 Q3 | 50% |
2020 Q4 | 52% |
Rates at renewal are stable:
OSFI’s monitoring of the mortgage market includes rates at renewals. Contrary to some speculation when the revised Guideline B-20 was introduced in 2018, there has been no significant spread between the rates offered at origination and those at renewal.
- Data from OSFI regulated lenders shows that following the introduction of the revised guideline, the difference between renewal and new mortgage rates for uninsured five-year fixed and variable rate mortgages has remained largely unchanged. (See Chart 4)
Text version - Chart 4
Renewal / new mortgage rate difference for five-year mortgages
Date | Ren-Origin |
---|
2015 Q1 | 0.02% |
2015 Q2 | 0.11% |
2015 Q3 | 0.20% |
2015 Q4 | 0.06% |
2016 Q1 | 0.14% |
2016 Q2 | 0.17% |
2016 Q3 | 0.17% |
2016 Q4 | 0.10% |
2017 Q1 | 0.04% |
2017 Q2 | 0.00% |
2017 Q3 | 0.07% |
2017 Q4 | 0.10% |
2018 Q1 | 0.07% |
2018 Q2 | -0.06% |
2018 Q3 | 0.11% |
2018 Q4 | 0.16% |
2019 Q1 | 0.05% |
2019 Q2 | 0.15% |
2019 Q3 | 0.10% |
2019 Q4 | 0.10% |
2020 Q1 | 0.09% |
2020 Q2 | 0.11% |
2020 Q3 | 0.05% |
2020 Q4 | 0.06% |
Associated Links
Guideline B-20: Residential Mortgage Underwriting Practices and Procedures
Speech: Sound Mortgage Underwriting: Foundation for Stability - 2020
Speech: Stressing the Stress Test: The Importance of Strong Mortgage Underwriting - 2019
Speech: Guideline B-20: Preparing for the Unexpected - 2019