Actuarial studies

We perform routine studies of past, present, and future trends of demographics and economics. This allows us to forecast the long-term financial status of public pension plans and social programs. These studies can also help policymakers develop and analyze options to reform their plans.

Mortality Projections for Social Security Programs in Canada: Actuarial Study No. 22

Based on an analysis of past experience and drivers of mortality, future longevity gains are expected to continue but at a slower pace than in the past. However, there is a lot of uncertainty related to projecting mortality, and unexpected shocks such as the current pandemic highlight this. A preliminary analysis of the pandemic in Canada, points to an impact on the 2020 period life expectancy of 0.5 years at birth and 0.4 years at age 65.